Service Plays Sunday 1/16/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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-------

****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NFL

SUNDAY, JANUARY 16
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (1/11)

Game 113-114: Seattle at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.505; Chicago 135.517
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 8; 39
Vegas Line: Chicago by 10; 41
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+10); Under

Game 115-116: NY Jets at New England (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 136.025; New England 146.625
Dunkel Line: New England by 10 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: New England by 8 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-8 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NFL

Sunday, January 16, 2011
NFC Divisional Round
CHICAGO 30, Seattle 17
AFC Divisional Round
NEW ENGLAND 31, N.Y. Jets 17

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Accuscore NFL Playoffs

4* Jets vs Patriots Over 45
Predicts 47
4* Patriots -9
Predicts 10

3* Seahawks vs Bears Under 41
Predicts 40

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo NFL GOY

Bears

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

uscmd

Member Emeritus

Randal the handle

PITTSBURGH –3 over Baltimore SportsInteraction

Rivalry? Yes. Evenly matched? On the surface, yes. Are their games usually close? Six of past seven games have been decided by a field goal, including both this year, so it has to be a yes. Does any of that matter for this game? Absolutely not. Each game brings different circumstances and because of the history here, the current records of these two combatants and Baltimore’s decisive win against overmatched Kansas City last week, we become the beneficiaries. The Steelers are rugged. They gave up the least amount of points (240) in the NFL this past season, an average of just 14.5 per game. In their final seven games, they gave up more than 16 points just once and held four of their opponents under double-digits. Pittsburgh’s run defense is exceptional, having relinquished just 1,004 yards on the ground, the 3rd lowest amount in history over a 16-game schedule. Baltimore could not solve this stellar stop unit either, having rushed for just 116 yards in the two games played earlier. That clearly puts the game on the suspect shoulders of Joe Flacco. With an aging receiving corps, an offensive line that does not protect particularly well, the Ravens on six days rest compared to Pittsburgh’s 13 and with Baltimore’s current’ 0-5 run versus counterpart Ben Roethlisberger, is that a comforting place to be? We think not and with the Steelers being better on both sides of the ball, a rather convincing win would not surprise. Play: Pittsburgh –3 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Green Bay +1.23 over ATLANTA Pinnacle

Both teams are talented and both are hard to dislike. The Falcons are no-nonsense. They play hard and fair and efficiently. They own an incredible 20-2 record on this field under the guidance of QB Matt Ryan. They are well coached and they are capable of beating any team in this league on any given day. However, the Packers are hot and when you have a hot team that can play defence the way this unit can, taking any points being offered becomes the prudent choice. As mentioned here last week, Green Bay has not lost a game by more than four points this entire season. That includes a game where the Packers went toe-to-toe with Atlanta while visiting here, back in late November, before succumbing by a 20-17 count on a last second field goal. Despite losing, Aaron Rodgers was 26 of 35 passing for 344 yards. In that game, Green Bay ran for just 77 yards that day. With the sudden emergence of rookie James Starks (123 rushing yards vs. Eagles last week), the proficient arm of Rodgers and this solid defense, Green Bay offers enticing value. Play: Green Bay +1.23 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO –10 over Seattle SportsInteraction

Never thought we’d be endorsing a double-digit favorite so fervently but voila, here it is. Two weeks ago, the entire betting public was all over the St. Louis Rams as a 3-point favorite in Seattle. That’s right, the Rams! Last week, sportsbooks had to lobby for Seahawks money, despite being offered 10 points or better with Seattle as hosts to the Saints. Lo and behold, the Seachickens win both games and suddenly they are Cinderella darlings? Give us a break. This is not Qwest field. The Bears are not a team decimated by injuries. Chicago’s defense is not a leaky unit that exposes itself to big plays. In fact, the Bears own the 2nd best run defense and 4th stingiest points allowed in the league. To put the latter into perspective, seven of the eight teams playing this weekend, are tops in points allowed. The Seahawks are 25th. In a league of 32 teams, Seattle was 27th on offense and 28th on defense. Okay, let’s say you’re delusional and you’re thinking that Seattle can lose the game but because of the large number, you can still get a cover? Well, think again. In the Seahawk’s nine losses, 15 points was the slimmest margin of defeat! That’s unfathomable. QB Matt Hasselbeck had the game of his life last week. Don’t expect lightning to strike twice. Hasselbeck has the mobility of a fire hydrant and with the likes of Julius Peppers, Israel Idonije, Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs chasing him around, this is going to be a very unpleasant end to a peculiar season. Bears roll. Play: Chicago –10 (Risking 2.1 units).

NEW ENGLAND –8½ over N.Y. Jets Pinnacle

Rex Ryan couldn’t hold Bill Belichick’s hoodie. Maybe Ryan’s jibberish is just a tactic to divert heat off his players but this is not the coach or the team you want to be mouthing off to. The Patriots were the league’s best team this season. Maybe not from the start but its how you finish that counts. New England scored 31 or more points in each of its final eight games. The Steelers, Jets, Bears and Packers were defenders included in that set. Some may point out that the Jets own the 3rd best defense in the league. Tell that to the 45-3 result played here approximately six weeks ago between these two. Others may point out that New England gives up a lot of yardage at 366 per game, ranking them 25th in the league. That may be true but those numbers may be skewed as much of the yardage given up was garbage yards when the Pats had games well in hand. Despite the generous yards allowed, the Patriots still finished amongst leaders in points allowed, permitting just one point per game more than these visiting Jets. The Pats average 10 points more per game on offense. It helps that Jets QB Mark Sanchez scares no one. Sanchez is the shameful owner of a 54.8 pass completion percentage, landing him 29th in the league, ahead of only Carolina’s Jimmy Clausen and Arizona’s Derek Anderson. The Belichick/Brady combo appear to be having as much fun and success as ever with this unlikely cast. After being embarrassed on this field in last year’s playoffs, expect the Jets to be muzzled both on and off the field when this one is all said and done. Play: New England –8½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

BOL 2 all!! He went 3 for 4 last week.​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colin Cowherd

Seattle +10
Pats -8 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Killer sports live

nfl
10 dime* bears -10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EM Sports

NFL:
1 unit: NY/NE Under 44.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

10* GOY Bears

10* Main Event Jets / Patriots Under

 

[dough]

fairway jay 20*---bears

teddy covers

sea/chi over
jets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL
Write-Up


Sunday, January 16

Seahawks (8-9) @ Bears (11-5)-- Seattle's nine losses are all by 15+ points, but they did upset Bears 23-20 (+6) in Week 6, sacking Cutler six times, holding Chicago without an offensive TD after game's first drive. Seahawks came off a bye in that game, now Bears are coming off bye- NFC #2 seeds are just 5-4 in last nine playoff openers, but four of five wins were by 22+ points. Chicago is 5-3 at home, but just 2-4-1 as a favorite. Seattle allowed 34-40-38 points in its last three road games, giving up 13 TDs on 31 drives. Since 1990, NFC #4 seed (worst of the division winners) is 1-13 SU in this round, with 10 of 13 losses by 10 or more points.

Jets (12-5) @ Patriots (14-2)-- Jets won first meeting 28-14 in Week 2 (+3), in game Pats led 14-10 at half; Jets outrushed NE 136-52, were +3 in turnovers. Patriots won rematch 45-3 (-3.5) in Week 13, going +3 in turnovers, averaging 9.5 yards/pass attempt. Pats won last eight games (6-2 vs spread); #1 seeds in AFC actually lost this game three of last five years, but Belichick is 2-0 in this round when #1 seed, winning by 3-11 points. Jets are 7-2 on road this season, losing 38-34 at Chicago in Week 16. Over last seven years, #5-6 seeds in AFC are 3-4 SU in this game, with losses by 3-3-11-17 points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Sunday's wagering tips

Weather to watch

The weather in Chicago will be cold, but not much of a factor when the Bears host the Seahawks. The forecast calls for temperatures in the low 20s, but just a 4-mph wind on a partly cloudy afternoon.

It will be a little warmer in New England with temps in the high 20s, but an expected 13-mph wind will make it feel 10 degrees colder and could have an effect on both team’s passing games.

Who’s hot

NFL: The Seattle Seahawks have seen the over go 9-1 in their past 10 games overall.

NBA: The San Antonio Spurs have gone 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games overall.

NHL: The Vancouver Canucks are 19-7 in their past 26 games overall.

NCAAB: Notre Dame is 10-3 ATS in its past 13 Big East games.

Who’s not

NFL: The New York Jets are 5-11-1 ATS in their past 17 games against the New England Patriots.

NBA: The Los Angeles Lakers have seen the under go 22-8 in their past 30 games.

NHL: The New York Rangers have seen the under go 8-0 in their past 8 games overall.

NCAAB: West Virginia Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their past 5 non-conference games.

Key stat

0 – Teams in NFL history who have won a playoff rematch against a team they lost to by at least 32 points during the regular season. The Jets lost to the Patriots, 45-3 earlier this year. Still not sold? Try this: From 1991 to 2004, No. 1 seeds are 9-0 straight-up (8-1 against the spread) against No. 6s.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Toronto Raptors guard Leandro Barbosa left Friday's game against Detroit with a strained right hamstring and had to be helped to the locker room just before halftime. He was scheduled for an MRI exam this weekend and did not travel with the Raptors to Washington. Barbosa is expected to miss up to 2 weeks. The Raptors lead guard was just finding his stride in Toronto, entering the weekend averaging 13.8 points. On Wednesday against Atlanta, he dropped a season-high 26 points.

Game of the day

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-9.5, 44)

Notable quotable

"I would totally agree I'm not worth that contract." – Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Vernon Wells, on hitting just .273 with 31 home runs and 88 RBI in the fourth year of his seven-year, $126 million deal.

Tips and notes

If the Buffalo Sabres have any hope of making the playoffs, they need to find a consistent lineup. The team appears to have a rift in the locker room as captain Craig Rivet was a healthy scratch for Saturday's game against the New York Islanders. The defenseman, who has just one goal, two assists and 12 penalty minutes in 23 games this year, has struggled to find regular ice time and this move could pave the way for a new player earning the “C.” Buffalo is 6-3-1 in its past 10 games, the second-best mark in the Eastern Conference. Coincidentally, it has coincided with fewer minutes for Rivet.

The Detroit Pistons have yet to trade guard Rip Hamilton, but he has not played in the team’s past two games and figures to sit for the forseeable future as the team tries to keep one if its biggest trade assets healthy for a looming deal with the New Jersey Nets and Denver Nuggets. Hamilton, a 32-year-old former All-Star averages 13.2 points and 2.6 assists per game, but can’t help his team by racking up DNPs. "I am mad. Anger as far as now," Pistons forward Tayshaun Prince said. "When I look at it I see so many things he can help us with on the floor now."

The Philadelphia Eagles are in the market for a new defensive coordinator. Less than a week after Eagles coach Andy Reid said Sean McDermott would return in the same role next season, the team has fired him. The Eagles defense was ravaged by injuries this season, but was a hot mess, giving up a franchise-high 31 touchdown passes and had the worst red zone defense in the league.

The NCAA has granted Houston quarterback Case Keenum a 6th-year of eligibility after he missed most of this season with a knee injury. In 2009, Keenum led the nation in total offense (5,829 yards) and yards passing (5,671). Overall, he needs 3,487 yards to break Tim Chang's career passing yardage record (17,072) and is just 28 TD passes behind Graham Harrell's scoring tosses record (134). "It's been a long process," Houston coach Kevin Sumlin said. "I'm out recruiting right now, but obviously, for us, we've got the best recruit we could get for next year."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SUNSHINE FORECAST:


Sunday, January 16, 2011

Seattle Seahawks (+10) at Chicago Bears [NFC Divisional Playoff]

Power Rating Projection:

Chicago Bears 30 Seattle Seahawks 19
Statistical Projections

Seattle Seahawks 15

Rushing Yards: 74
Passing Yards: 187
Turnovers: 2

Chicago Bears 20

Rushing Yards: 95
Passing Yards: 191
Turnovers: 1
** Statistical edge to Seattle Seahawks



SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Chicago Bears 31 Seattle Seahawks 30
Seattle Seahawks (1 star)









New York Jets (+8½) at New England Patriots [AFC Divisional Playoff]

Power Rating Projection:

New England Patriots 29 New York Jets 22
Statistical Projections

New York Jets 22

Rushing Yards: 151
Passing Yards: 212
Turnovers: 2

New England Patriots 28

Rushing Yards: 117
Passing Yards: 227
Turnovers: 1

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

New England Patriots 36 New York Jets 29

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Chicago Bears -10

4* NY Jets +9

 

[Whiterabbit]

DCI NFL

NFC Divisional Round
CHICAGO 27, New Orleans 20

AFC Divisional Round
NEW ENGLAND 31, N.Y. Jets 17

Bears don't play the Saints, as they will be sitting at home watching........

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Al Demarco

15 Dime Teaser of The Year

Patriots & Over Patriots/Jets

 

[jdsabre]

Indian Cowboy

4 UNIT New England Patriots, -8.5
4 UNIT Seattle Seahawks, Over 41

 

[fly73]

David Malinsky

4* NY JETS over NEW ENGLAND

Rarely have we ever seen the result of a single game have the line impact that the 45-3 Monday night rout the Patriots had over the Jets on week #13, not all that long ago, as we see here. That game sat on New England -3.5 for most of the week, before closing at -4, a price that has now more than doubled. Has anything happened since then to also generate the gap? No. While the Patriots did close out strong, the Jets have won at Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, and nearly won at Chicago as well. So we do not hesitate to accept the market generosity in a game that does not bring physical matchups anywhere near what this line suggests.

New England is not an easy team to rate because of the nature of a truly historic season. The Patriots set an all-time NFL record by only turning the ball over 10 times, and their +28 in TO differential was the third best over the past 50 seasons. When something happens that extreme it is naturally going to skew other statistics, like the fact that their opponents actually ended up with more first downs (348-335) and more total yards (5,864-5,820). We have to put an * next to those, but what is meaningful is that in terms of yards per play it was only a 5.9 to 5.6 New England advantage, a tie for #8 in that category. It was precision, not necessarily prowess. In truth they get an absolute A for their offensive precision, with Tom Brady running a sophisticated scheme in which there are not a lot of risks taken. We do not give the defense anywhere near that grade, however. We credit that group with being every bit as much lucky as good, and in allowing 63.5 percent pass completions at 7.1 per attempt, and 1,728 rushing yards at 4.2, it was an average group kept from further statistical exposure by favorable bounces.

The Jet defensive numbers are in an entirely different league, and while they were embarrassed by Brady in that Monday night debacle, they also own a pair of outright wins over the Patriots the past two seasons in which the results were entirely different. They are not going to be intimidated in any way, and if anything the fact that they could corral Peyton Manning and the Colts with far fewer blitzes than usual last week sets up the game plan here play it straight, rely on Darrelle Reavis and Antonio Cromartie to handle their guys one-on-one, and force New England to beat them with personnel, rather than Brady making the right reads in a gambling defense that has to allow a hole or two. The Patriot receivers are good, not great, and the RB's just average, getting much more out of tactics than talent. The flip side to this equation can also fit, with the Jet offense having an outstanding second half at Indianapolis to grow in confidence. When the counting was done they had 70 offensive plays to just 54 for the Colts, with LaDanian Tomlinson (82 rushing yards) and Shonn Greene (70) both effective overland, and Mark Sanchez able to play within himself. The pieces are in place for a dink-and-dunk attack that can control the ball for long stretches against a defense that is vulnerable to just that.

That all leaves us with a unique bottom line. Rarely do we ever see a price this high when the underdog has a roster that is every bit that of what the favorite brings, with the Jets clearly better at running the football, and at defending both the run and the pass. It shows how much the Patriot turnover differential has become an accepted reality in the marketplace, rather than a pendulum that has gone to an extreme, and a confident team that has won three road playoff games over the past two seasons brings the swagger to be in the hunt all the way in this one.​

 

[fly73]

Nelly

CHICAGO (-10) Seattle (40) 12:00 PM

The Seahawks stunned everyone last week, posting 41 points on the Super
Bowl champions. Playing at home proved to be a big edge as the Saints
struggled on defense, allowing several big plays and Seattle got a great game
from Matt Hasselbeck. Seattle did allow 474 yards in the game and the
Seahawks have been a horrendous road team, going 2-6. One of those wins
came in Chicago early in the season. The Seahawks played a clean game and
even survived a punt return touchdown from Devin Hester to hold on for the win.
The Bears had no success rushing the ball in that match-up and Seattle blitzed
throughout the game to put pressure on Jay Cutler. Chicago lost three times at
home in the regular season and the defense was not overly impressive down
the stretch, allowing 20 or more points in four of the final six games of the
season. Statistically Seattle is slightly better on offense but the Bears should
have a substantial defensive edge in this game. The weather conditions in
Chicago should be an advantage for the Bears as well and it is unlikely that​

Seattle can play another turnover free contest.

BEARS BY 14 (Rating 1)

NEW ENGLAND (-8½) NY Jets (45½) 3:30 PM

The Jets came through with a huge win over the Colts last week and the

defensive performance was impressive, forcing Indianapolis well out of its
comfort zone. Indianapolis rushed more than they passed last week and the
same goal could be in order this week against the Patriots. New England has
been dominant on offense this season, averaging over 360 yards per game
while scoring over 32 points per game. New England finished the regular
season +28 in turnovers which can explain the 14-2 record despite very suspect
defensive numbers. As good as New England is on offense, the Patriots actually
allowed more yards than they gained this season. The Jets are the far better
rushing team and the far superior rush defense but New England should enjoy a
big advantage at QB. The Jets should have no lack of motivation after losing 45-
3 when these teams met in early December but the Jets were also one of two
teams to beat the Patriots with a 28-14 win early in the year. New England had
three turnovers in that game and it will likely take that type or performance to
win in Foxboro, where New England has won 17 of the last 18 games. The one​

loss did come in the last playoff game however.

PATRIOTS BY 6 (Rating 2)​

NFL OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK​

‘UNDER’ Jets/Patriots​

​

The ‘over’ hit in seven of eight home games for the Patriots but this could be a​

lower scoring game and the total is inflated a bit. Last week the Jets were
successful with a conservative defensive attack, dropping back in coverage and
rarely blitzing. A similar approach may occur this week as the Jets may dare
New England to run the ball. The Jets are one of the top rushing teams in the
league and with a suspect run defense for New England it is likely that the
primary attack for New York will be on the ground. The Jets got into trouble with
three Mark Sanchez interceptions in the blowout loss the last time these teams
met so a conservative approach on both sides of the ball will be likely, which
lends to the clock running and a lower scoring game very possible.​

​

NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK​

Playoff Dog Winners Facing Teams off a Loss​

PLAY AGAINST​

Any NFL playoff team on the road coming off

a S/U underdog win facing a foe off a S/U loss.​

​

16-6-1, 72.7% since 1982​

PLAY AGAINST: Seattle (PLAY ON: Chicago)​

​